A Panel Data Analysis of the Impact of Economic Growth, Population Change, Innovation, and Renewable Energy Policies on the Carbon Footprint in G-7 Countries
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20800519Schlagworte:
CO2 Emissions, Renewable Energy, Innovation, Population Change, Carbon FootprintAbstract
This research aims to empirically analyze the environmental sustainability factors in G-7 countries. The study reveals the dynamic interactions between carbon footprint (dependent variable) and economic growth, population change, renewable energy consumption and technological innovation (independent variables).The study examines the causality relationship between carbon footprint and macroeconomic variables using a panel data set covering the period 1991-2023. In this context, Panel VAR model and Granger Causality test are applied to the dataset as methodology. The results of the analysis show that renewable energy consumption and technological innovation have a negative impact on carbon footprint. On the other hand, economic growth and population change have positive effects on carbon footprint. These findings suggest that G-7 countries should prioritize renewable energy transition and RandD investments in their climate policies. Given the increasing importance of carbon footprint, especially with the Paris Climate Agreement, it is thought that this research will contribute to the literature in terms of identifying the underlying causes of the problems and providing a solution. In addition, it is important that the transformation is initiated and supported by the countries with the strongest economies.
Literaturhinweise
Aichele, R., and Felbermayr, G. (2013). The Effect of the Kyoto Protocol on Carbon Emissions. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 32(4), 731–757. https://doi.org/10.1002/PAM.21720
Akrofi, M. M., Okitasari, M., and Kandpal, R. (2022). Recent trends on the linkages between energy, SDGs and the Paris Agreement: a review of policy-based studies. Discover Sustainability, 3(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1007/S43621-022-00100-Y
Albino, V., Ardito, L., Dangelico, R. M., and Messeni Petruzzelli, A. (2014). Understanding the development trends of low-carbon energy technologies: A patent analysis. Applied Energy, 135, 836–854. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.APENERGY.2014.08.012
Almeida, D., Carvalho, L., Ferreira, P., Dionísio, A., and Haq, I. U. (2024). Global Dynamics of Environmental Kuznets Curve: A Cross-Correlation Analysis of Income and CO2 Emissions. Sustainability 2024, Vol. 16, Page 9089, 16(20), 9089. https://doi.org/10.3390/SU16209089
Altintas, F. F. (2020). İnovasyonun ekonomik büyümeyi etkilemesine yönelik bir yapısal eşitlik modeli uygulaması: G20 grubu ülkeleri örneği. Business and Management Studies: An International Journal, 8(4), 723–763. https://doi.org/10.15295/BMIJ.V8I4.1582
Arellano, M., and Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968
Arı, A., and Zeren, F. (2011). CO2 Emisyonu ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Panel Veri Analizi. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Dergisi, 18(2), 37–47. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/yonveek/issue/13695/165744
Asaloko, P. P., Asongu, S., and Zogo, T. E. (2025). Does peak technology combat energy poverty in developing countries? International Journal of Energy Sector Management. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-12-2024-0028
Aslan, A., Apergis, N., and Yildirim, S. (2014). Causality between energy consumption and GDP in the U.S.: Evidence from wavelet analysis. Frontiers in Energy, 8(1), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11708-013-0290-6
Aye, G. C., and Edoja, P. E. (2017). Effect of economic growth on CO2 emission in developing countries: Evidence from a dynamic panel threshold model. Cogent Economics and Finance, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2017.1379239
Bera, A. K., Montes-Rojas, G., and Sosa-Escudero, W. (2010). General specification testing with locallymisspecified models. Econometric Theory, 26(6), 1838–1845. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466609990818
Bilalli, A., Gollopeni, K. S., Beka, A., and Gara, A. (2024). The Relationship Between Renewable Energy Consumption, Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Economic Growth, and Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from Developed European Countries. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 19(1), 375–384. https://doi.org/10.18280/IJSDP.190136
Bilgili, F., Koçak, E., and Bulut, Ü. (2016). The dynamic impact of renewable energy consumption on CO2 emissions: A revisited Environmental Kuznets Curve approach. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 54, 838–845. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RSER.2015.10.080
Blundell, R., and Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8
Böhringer, C. (2003). The Kyoto Protocol: A Review and Perspectives. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 19(3), 451–466. https://doi.org/10.1093/OXREP/19.3.451
Boutabba, M. A. (2014). The impact of financial development, income, energy and trade on carbon emissions: Evidence from the Indian economy. Economic Modelling, 40, 33–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ECONMOD.2014.03.005
Dağ, M., and Kızılkaya, F. (2021). Türkiye için sağlık harcamaları, CO2 emisyonları ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinin incelenmesi. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi, 19(3), 211–229. https://doi.org/10.11611/YEAD.917255
Damırova, S., and Yayla, N. (2021). Çevre kirliliği ile makroekonomik belirleyicileri arasındaki ilişki: Seçilmiş ülkeler için bir panel veri analizi. Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi, 30, 107–126. https://doi.org/10.18092/ULIKIDINCE.804787
Danish, Zhang, B., Wang, B., and Wang, Z. (2017). Role of renewable energy and non-renewable energy consumption on EKC: Evidence from Pakistan. Journal of Cleaner Production, 156, 855–864. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JCLEPRO.2017.03.203
Duscha, V., Denishchenkova, A., and Wachsmuth, J. (2019). Achievability of the Paris Agreement targets in the EU: demand-side reduction potentials in a carbon budget perspective. Climate Policy, 19(2), 161–174. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1471385
Ehrlich, P. R., and Holdren, J. P. (1971). Impact of population growth. Science, 171(3977), 1212–1217. https://doi.org/10.1126/SCIENCE.171.3977.1212
Erkök, B. (2022). Almanya’nın Enerji Dönüşümü Politikaları: Türkiye İçin Bir Örnek. Fiscaoeconomia, 6(2), 294–324. https://doi.org/10.25295/FSECON.1056335
Eslamidoost, Z., Arabzadeh, M., Oskoie, V., and Dehghani, S. (2022). Carbon footprint calculation in one of the largest Gas Refinery Companies in the Middle East. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(54), 81609–81623. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11356-022-21482-6
Fakher, H. A. (2019). Investigating the determinant factors of environmental quality (based on ecological carbon footprint index). Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(10), 10276–10291. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11356-019-04452-3/METRICS
Fasanya, I. O., and Arek-Bawa, O. (2025). Connection between urbanization and CO2 emissions in South Africa: does global uncertainty matter? International Journal of Energy Sector Management, 19(2), 412–428. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-03-2024-0020
Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912791
Grossman, G. M., and Krueger, A. B. (1995). Economic Growth and the Environment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(2), 353–377. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118443
Gül, İ., and Shipman, D. (2021). Aşırı Turizm, Nüfus Teorisi ve Turizme Katılım. Ahi Evran Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 7(3), 993–1006. https://doi.org/10.31592/AEUSBED.827987
Imandojemu, K., Osabohien, R., Sule, A., and Al-Faryan, M. A. S. (2025). Quantile analysis of the role of renewable energy technology on carbon neutrality in organization for economic co-operation and development countries. International Journal of Energy Sector Management. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-10-2024-0046
Jang, W. S., Kim, J. S., Kong, B. S., Lee, D. C., and Kim, B. S. (2014). Experimental Analysis to Characterizing CO2 Emission of Roller. Advanced Materials Research, 898, 452–455. https://doi.org/10.4028/WWW.SCIENTIFIC.NET/AMR.898.452
Jiying, W., Beraud, J. J. D., and Xicang, Z. (2023). Investigating the impact of air pollution in selected African developing countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(23), 64460–64471. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11356-023-26998-Z/METRICS
Kuznets, S. (1985). Economic Growth and Income Inequality. In M. A. Seligson (Ed.), The Gap Between Rich and Poor (pp. 25–37). Routledge. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429311208
Le, T. H., Chang, Y., and Park, D. (2017). Energy demand convergence in APEC: An empirical analysis. Energy Economics, 65, 32–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENECO.2017.04.013
Leal, P. H., and Marques, A. C. (2022). The evolution of the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis assessment: A literature review under a critical analysis perspective. Heliyon, 8(11), e11521. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.HELIYON.2022.E11521
Liu, B., Mahmood, B. S., Mohammadian, E., Manshad, A. K., Rosli, N. R., and Ostadhassan, M. (2021). Measurement of solubility of CO2 in NaCl, CaCl2, MgCl2 and MgCl2 + CaCl2 brines at temperatures from 298 to 373 K and pressures up to 20 mpa using the potentiometric titration method. Energies, 14(21), 7222. https://doi.org/10.3390/EN14217222/S1
Long, X., Chen, Y., Du, J., Oh, K., and Han, I. (2017). Environmental innovation and its impact on economic and environmental performance: Evidence from Korean-owned firms in China. Energy Policy, 107, 131–137. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENPOL.2017.04.044
Maranville, S. (1992). Entrepreneurship in the Business Curriculum. Journal of Education for Business, 68(1), 27–31. https://doi.org/10.1080/08832323.1992.10117582
Martínez-Navarro, D., Amate-Fortes, I., and Guarnido-Rueda, A. (2020). Inequality and development: is the Kuznets curve in effect today? Economia Politica, 37(3), 703–735. https://doi.org/10.1007/S40888-020-00190-9
Mazlum, E. C. (2023). Ekonomik Büyüme Ve Ekolojik Ayak İzi İlişkisi: E7 Ülkeleri Örneği. Uluslararası Anadolu Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 7(1), 123–135. https://doi.org/10.47525/ULASBID.1235614
Mor, S., Aneja, R., Madan, S., and Ghimire, M. (2024). Kyoto Protocol and Paris Agreement: Transition from Bindings to Pledges – A Review. Millennial Asia, 15(4), 690–711. https://doi.org/10.1177/09763996221141546
National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). (2025). Global Climate Report (Annual 2024). https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202413
Nielsen, F., and Alderson, A. S. (1997). The Kuznets curve and the great u-turn: Income inequality in U.S. counties, 1970 to 1990. American Sociological Review, 62(1), 12–33. https://doi.org/10.2307/2657450
OECD. (2015). Beyond the Millennium Development Goals: Towards an OECD contribution to the post-2015 agenda. https://unstats.un.org/unsd/broaderprogress/pdf/POST-2015%20Overview%20Paper%20(OECD).pdf
OWID. (2024). OWID Homepage. Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org
Özbek, S. (2023). Enerji İthalatçısı Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde Enerji Yoğunluğunun Belirleyicileri. Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 24(1), 114–126. https://doi.org/10.37880/CUMUIIBF.1181547
Özekenci, E. K. (2023). Karbondioksit emisyonu (CO2) ile ihracat, enerji, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki: Türkiye örneği. Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi, 40, 83–98. https://doi.org/10.18092/ULIKIDINCE.1251325
Pata, U. K. (2021). Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption, economic complexity, CO2 emissions, and ecological footprint in the USA: testing the EKC hypothesis with a structural break. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(1), 846–861. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11356-020-10446-3
Patrick Arnold, O. K., Donald, D. S., Rovier, D., and Pauline, N. T. (2025). Perceptions of climate change and pro-environmental behavior: case study on the adoption of liquefied petroleum gas in Cameroon. International Journal of Energy Sector Management, 19(4), 1061–1074. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-05-2024-0008
Popp, D., Hascic, I., and Medhi, N. (2011). Technology and the diffusion of renewable energy. Energy Economics, 33(4), 648–662. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENECO.2010.08.007
Porter, M. E. (1991). Towards a dynamic theory of strategy. Strategic Management Journal, 12(2 S), 95–117. https://doi.org/10.1002/SMJ.4250121008
Raiser, K., Naims, H., and Bruhn, T. (2017). Corporatization of the climate? Innovation, intellectual property rights, and patents for climate change mitigation. Energy Research and Social Science, 27, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ERSS.2017.01.020
Roy Chowdhury, R., and Moran, E. F. (2012). Turning the curve: A critical review of Kuznets approaches. Applied Geography, 32(1), 3–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.APGEOG.2010.07.004
Sadorsky, P. (2009). Renewable energy consumption, CO2 emissions and oil prices in the G7 countries. Energy Economics, 31(3), 456–462. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENECO.2008.12.010
Tokal, P. (2022). Yükselen Ekonomilerde İnovasyon ve Büyüme İlişkisi: Panel Eşbütünleşme Analizi. TESAM Akademi Dergisi, 9(2), 649–681. https://doi.org/10.30626/TESAMAKADEMI.1103653
Umair, M., Yousuf, M. U., Cheema, A. R., and Ul-Haq, J. (2025). Assessing the environmental consequences of fossil fuel consumption in newly industrialized countries. International Journal of Energy Sector Management, 19(4), 1027–1044. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-08-2024-0036
Uzunali, A., and Yazıcı, T. (2023). Carbon footprint changing with Covid-19 in Turkey. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 25(10), 10685–10707. https://doi.org/10.1007/S10668-022-02500-6
Waggoner, P. E., and Ausubel, J. H. (2002). A framework for sustainability science: A renovated IPAT identity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 99(12), 7860–7865. https://doi.org/10.1073/PNAS.122235999
Wang, L., Chang, H. L., Rizvi, S. K. A., and Sari, A. (2020). Are eco-innovation and export diversification mutually exclusive to control carbon emissions in G-7 countries? Journal of Environmental Management, 270, 110829. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2020.110829
Wei, Y., Tao, X., Zhu, J., Ma, Y., Yang, S., and ayub, A. (2024). Examining the relationship between international digital trade, green technology innovation and environmental sustainability in top emerging economics. Heliyon, 10(7), e28210. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.HELIYON.2024.E28210
World Bank. (2023). World Development Indicators | DataBank. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO). (2023). WIPO IP Facts and Figures 2023. https://www.wipo.int/publications/en/details.jsp?id=4686andplang=EN
Wu, S. (2010). Lag length selection in DF-GLS unit root tests. Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation, 39(8), 1590–1604. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2010.508143
Yilanci, V., Haouas, I., Ozgur, O., and Sarkodie, S. A. (2021). Energy Diversification and Economic Development in Emergent Countries: Evidence From Fourier Function-Driven Bootstrap Panel Causality Test. Frontiers in Energy Research, 9, 632712. https://doi.org/10.3389/FENRG.2021.632712
Zheng, J. C., and Jiang, H. K. (2007). Correlation analysis and causality test between Ludong-Huanghai block and South Japan. Acta Seismologica Sinica English Edition, 20(4), 381–391. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11589-007-0381-8
Downloads
Veröffentlicht
Zitationsvorschlag
Ausgabe
Rubrik
Lizenz
Copyright (c) 2026 International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences

Dieses Werk steht unter der Lizenz Creative Commons Namensnennung 4.0 International.
The Author(s) must make formal transfer of copyright for each article prior to publication in the International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences. Such transfer enables the Journal to defend itself against plagiarism and other forms of copyright infringement. Your cooperation is appreciated. You agree that copyright of your article to be published in the International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences is hereby transferred, throughout the World and for the full term and all extensions and renewals thereof, to International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences.
The Author(s) reserve(s): (a) the trademark rights and patent rights, if any, and (b) the right to use all or part of the information contained in this article in future, non-commercial works of the Author's own, or, if the article is a "work-for-hire" and made within the scope of the Author's employment, the employer may use all or part of the information contained in this article for intra-company use, provided the usual acknowledgements are given regarding copyright notice and reference to the original publication.
The Author(s) warrant(s) that the article is Author's original work, and has not been published before. If excerpts from copyrighted works are included, the Author will obtain written permission from the copyright owners and shall credit the sources in the article. The author also warrants that the article contains no libelous or unlawful statements, and does not infringe on the rights of others. If the article was prepared jointly with other Author(s), the Author agrees to inform the co-Author(s) of the terms of the copyright transfer and to sign on their behalf; or in the case of a "work-for-hire" the employer or an authorized representative of the employer.
The journal is registered with the ISSN : 1925-4423.
IJCEAS is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
This license lets others distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon your work, even commercially, as long as they credit you for the original creation. This is the most accommodating of licenses offered. Recommended for maximum dissemination and use of licensed materials.
